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2024-12-13 16:30:28

Second, judging from the technical analysis, the short-term A-share market has peaked, that is to say, 3494 points yesterday was the recent high point.The simplest and most direct reason for doing this is to spread out the high-priced chips at a high level. In fact, the main force has been doing this all the time. Since 924, the main capital of A shares has flowed out of the market by more than 2 trillion yuan. Who has taken these chips? According to relevant data, over 10 million new retail investors have entered the market during this period. Judging from the current trading volume, although the number of retail investors has decreased, there are still retail investors' funds coming into the market. How many retail investors have taken over yesterday's trading volume?Figure ii


This chart contains the situation of A-share trading volume since the 924 market. On October 8, the volume was the largest, which was the largest in history. On November 8, it was greatly reduced, and it was reduced again on December 10. Today, the volume is still shrinking, which still belongs to the trend of ship pulled. Everyone should pay attention to this time interval. Since October 8, there will be a rebound every other day, November 8, December 10 and December.It may also be that the forecast is too early. For today's trend, I ignored the will of the main capital to attract more. If we make a quick correction today, the A-share market may be difficult to do at the end of the year. Therefore, the main capital repeated the trend of double 11 today, and we cannot ignore the determination of the main capital to attract more shipments.My prediction yesterday was wrong: there will be a compensatory decline trend in the A-share market tomorrow, and we can observe the support level around 3380 points. If this position is supported, the market will be a slow decline trend, and if it is not, it will be a rapid decline trend.


We can't ignore the degree of connection between these three indexes. The short-term differentiation doesn't mean that we have to break the connection. If the main A-shares don't support the market today, A-shares will plummet, so that the main ones will not be able to ship for the New Year. This is not for retail investors, but for themselves.Today, Hong Kong stocks continued to dive, A50 futures index fell resistively, and the A-share market rose slightly. After observation, we found that the big main force became the main force to support the market today, which shows that it is not willing to fall on the market now and can't manage the external market. It can only maintain the spot market of A-shares, that is to say, it has to support the market.Third, how will the A-share market operate tomorrow? I have the following views:

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